A New Fuzzy Adaptive Variable Weighting Algorithm for Combination Forecasting
- Received Date: 1996-05-27
- Rev Recd Date: 1996-07-12
- Publish Date: 1997-06-15
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Key words:
- combination forecasting /
- fuzzy forecasting /
- adaptive forecasting /
- algorithm
Abstract: This paper presents a fuzzy adaptive variable weighting algorithm for combination forecasting by imitating men's decision-making process.The algorithm adapts the weighting of each method according to its match-degree with the real value during the last period of time.So,it is a variable weighting algorithm for combination forecasting.Simulation results show that the algorithm is simple and effective,and has good performance of tracking ability.
Citation: | Tang Xiaowo, Wang Jing, Cao Changxiu. A New Fuzzy Adaptive Variable Weighting Algorithm for Combination Forecasting[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, 1997, 26(3): 289-292. |