期权理论在R&D投资决策中的应用
An Application of Options Theory to R&D Investment Decision
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摘要: 在对投资期权研究的基础上,分析了传统投资决策方法中NPV法的不足,指出传统NPV法低估了R&D项目的投资价值。对R&D项目投资决策的离散状态、连续状态和两阶段状态,分别运用期权理论进行了定量分析。Abstract: On the basis of the research of real options, the shortcoming of the net present value(NPV) approach-one of the traditional approaches of investment decision-is pointed out in this paper. It is also found that NPV may undervalue the research and development(R&D) project. The discrete-time model, the continuous-time model and the two-period model of an R&D project investment decision are gotten. An example of investment decision of R&D is given.