移动平均线交易规则检验
Test of Trading Rule of Moving Average
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摘要: 采用移动平均线的技术分析方法进行了可预测性研究。经验结果表明,股票收益率是可以预测的。采用移动平均线交易策略可以获得比买入-持有策略较高的平均收益率,为我国股票市场的弱式有效性提供了重要理论参考。Abstract: This paper uses the moving average trading rule of the technical analysis method to do predictability research. The empirical evidence shows that the technical rules have predictive power, because adopting the moving average trading strategy can produce higher average return than using buy-holding strategy. The results prove theoretically that China's stock market is weak form efficient.