中国证券投资基金的羊群行为对股价的影响

Impact of Chinese Investment Funds' Herding Behavior on Stock Prices

  • 摘要: 中国证券投资基金存在一定程度的正反馈交易行为;形成期羊群效应较高的组合在形成期之前一个季度、半年、一年以及形成期当期的超常收益率较高;形成期之前一个季度、半年、一年以及形成期当期的超常收益率较高的组合的形成期羊群效应较高;2000年年报显示,基金的羊群行为有助于市场的稳定;同时,2000年中报和2001年中报也没有发现形成期前后股票组合超常收益率明显的均值回复现象;基金羊群行为方向与股票组合超常收益率不相关。

     

    Abstract: Chinese security funds implement the positive feedback trading strategy to some extent. The higher the herding in the formation period is, the higher the abnormal returns one quarter, half year and one year before the formation period and during the formation period are, vice versa. In the 2000 annual statement, herding is beneficial to stabilizing the stock market. At the same time there is no significant mean-reversion for the abnormal returns before and after the formation period in both 2000 semiannual statement and 2001 semiannual statement. Finally, the herding direction (buy-side herding or sell-side herding) is unrelated to the portfolio abnormal return.

     

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