基于云模型的风险评估方法研究

Study on the Risk Evaluation Approach Based on Cloud Model

  • 摘要: 以复杂网络环境中的网络交易为研究背景, 引入云模型理论, 通过对复杂网络环境中的信任、信任影响因素及信任评价机制等问题的研究, 提出了基于云模型的信任评估模型, 实现了信任的定性与定量的转换, 客观地反映了信任的随机性、模糊性和不可预测性; 为了有效地对复杂网络中交易风险进行评估, 研究并提出了基于云模型的风险评估方法. 仿真实验表明, 提出的信任评估模型能对复杂的网络环境中实体的信任做出合理的评价; 基于云模型的风险评估方法能对电子商务中的交易风险进行合理可行的预测. 设计并实现了一个基于云模型的风险评估系统, 进一步验证了基于云模型的风险评估方法的可行性和合理性, 也为复杂的网络环境中风险评估的研究提供了有价值的新思路.

     

    Abstract: In order to achieve a secure network transactions, the main problem we are facing to is the trust, risk and other issues. In this paper, taking the network transactions of complex network environment as the researching background, we proposed the trust evaluation model based on cloud model. This trust evaluation model can implement the conversion between qualitative and quantitative of trusts, and it can objectively reflect the randomness, fuzziness, and unpredictability of the trusts. In order to effectively evaluate transaction risk in complex networks, the risk evaluation approach based on cloud model is researched and proposed. The simulation results confirm that this trust evaluation model can make a reasonable evaluation of the entities' trust in the complex network environment, and that the risk evaluation approach researched in this paper can reasonably predict the risk of network transactions. Finally, we design and realize a risk evaluation system based on cloud model, further also confirm the feasibility and rationality of the proposed risk evaluation approach.

     

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